Update [August 15th 2010]: I received a very interesting EW analysis from a long term
friend to the web site, which I will not divulge, since he asked me not to pass it on. Still it
made me think, reconsider a couple of ideas, and look into a chart I have not published. Of
the 15 single cycles in the Raw Numbers, this study is only based on 4 of them, two posted
in Chart 2E inside the Trading System.
It has shown great merit since 1982, calibrated at peak in 2000. Keep it simple seems to be
a great idea also here. I will call it Long Term Z233/ 4 Average, and its the 3rd chart in the
following series, the first two charts are discussed further down:
[The Super Big Picture]
Dow Jones could actually make new high in late 2016 - early 2017, after an extended bull
market from 2011. This is counter to ideas suggested further down, still I post it as a
possibility, study all three charts in concert, and keep an open mind. Already so many seem
to expect that US and its stock market are headed for the abyss. Well never write off
America, its seems to be the favorite pass time for many around the world - even among
Americans.
Americans have three things [even more] going for them, 1) economic freedom, 2) many
Americans pray for the country, and 3) they have Hollywood, which always plants seeds in
the mind of kids/ new generations. Elsewhere they finish them off even in the kindergarten,
run mostly by depressive Marxists chicks, here in Europe. If you want to destroy the
economy, go to work, and pass your kids over to communists. Soon the kids will call you
names too. An interesting documentary showed that all the ideas for new medical technology
was created by "kids" who had been Star Trek fans. Soon law enforcement will adapt ideas
from Batman.
Of course the French author Jules Verne inspired many innovations, I refer to Back to the
future part 3, where he was spoken highly about, for good reason. Emmet Brown got two
kids with the teacher Clara Clayton, and called them Jules and Verne. I loved the three
movies, and some kids will invent a real Time Machine, but not a refitted De Lorean.
Jules Verne set the stage for great progress, it all starts with imagination, but you must also
have faith. What things soever you desire, when you pray, believe that you receive them,
and you shall have them. But seek first the kingdom of God and His righteousness, and
all these things shall be added to you. Ideas this man incorporated in his book 100 years
ago. Wealth and everything ever invented comes from God, and through those with faith, pay
no attention to the nay sayers. What have they to show for? Imitation.
Sure the atheists laugh, then I ask what did the atheist states in Europe and elsewhere
produce/ invent or any other communist state. They had to fence in their population. Russia
had caviar and Castro cigars, pre revolution products. Thats what they still have - beyond
that just raw materials, they hardly could get to the market.
China got the message. Few know it, but the Bible sells like hot cakes in China, armies praise
the Lord now, as many Americans always have done. The danger is that America is attacked
by atheists and stealth communists, now occupying the White House. In November they will
hopefully be lame ducks, and I will hold my own Tea Party.
Israel also contribute impressively to innovation, and we share sections of the Good Book,
which is basically a scientific treaty. Needless to say many of the greatest scientists were/ are
Jewish, and many fled from Europe - the brain drain. For the Bible holds all The Secrets, for
scientific progress and wealth creation.
So let me say: God Bless America! We all count on you for creating new industries, while
others produce knock offs. Talented people from all over the world will take their ideas
there, the only place every new generation can create huge Fortune 500 corporation in no
time, like Apple, Google, MSFT, Facebook etc. etc. etc - the list goes on. ONLY IN
AMERICA.
In the next phase they will build Las Vegas on the Moon, travel back and forth to the future,
and pull energy out of nothing/ vacuum/ the zero point field, which the immigrant Tesla did in
the last century. Here is the irony, they all know it in their heart, if they do not rally around the
American Economy, they will have none their own. The Russian President went to Silicon
Valley recently, and asked Russians to come home, and create companies. Why? To be
ripped off - with help from the government or a judge? Did you know that the American
chess team consists of Russians. An Indian is already in America, he has invented a machine
that produces bricks from moon dust. He will probably build a Casino on the Moon - called
Sands/ The Moon. People with visions and faith is what is needed - at all times. Politicians
are irrelevant.
Update [July 8th 2010]: I just received a an article from Wall Street Journal from a
regular visitor: Get Ready for a Cataclysmic Market Crash! (Or Maybe Not); By Jason
Zweig.
My question is: Can Bob Precther be correct, Dow will return to 1982 level, below 1000.
Not in six-, but maybe in eleven years. I will state no opinion, but I will publish a chart I have
had for some time. At times I look it, add the accumulated price data, and always I find it
interesting:
Chart: [The Super Big Picture]
Some explanations should be offered. For fine tuning go to Raw Numbers Page Proper.
The turn in 1982 came late March that year, and ahead was indeed an initial extremely
positive phase, with many of the 15 internal cycles, pulling in the same direction. Setting off an
18 year long bull market.
The extreme reading in the Raw Numbers [the summit] came late August 1999. The graph
could have been calibrated differently, but it does not matter, its just trying to give the Super
Big Picture, so give it a couple of months tolerance/ give and take. For details and .....
Cycle-LT144.
The period from 1994 to 1998 looks weak, while the market inches up, but close up; one
would see the declines in the Raw Numbers and the Average, have brief right hand shifts and
left hand slopes, that should give a bullish interpretation, according to the Rules of
Interpretations. The are marks/ dents in the price in this period, but not trend changes.
Especially if there is a peak ahead [1999], the market should move towards The Summit, and
favour positive pulses over negative ones. Often the market resists negative pulses as well as
it can. This might be different ahead, if we are in a long weak phase, with intermediate
aborted bull runs.
Lets look at the price 2007-2008. The peak in the indicator came in 2006, but here I refer to
regular Big Picture Study, and even more detailed studies. In the Super Big Picture, the
market was hanging in the air, and fell into the hole, just in time before 2009 positive
correction.
From 2011 the Newmont Chart in conjunction with commodity studies, suggest a rally
maybe in resource stocks, and other cyclical stocks. Still in the bigger picture we might move
sideway in the major Stock indexes from 2011, and a final decline from 2017 towards late
2021. Under 1000 Dow Points? I do not dare to say.
Again this is not a prediction, this is an offer to anyone to interpret the picture as they see it,
with Cycle-LT as one input only. On this web site intra day cycles to those lasting over
decades - are offered. In the end it comes down to how each and everyone read the
MARKET, who is always right.
On this web site I once (years ago) called the market an unpredictable bitch,and a visitor with
a lady name, called me a sexist. Whey did I not call the market a horny bastard?
Less sexist?1)
friend to the web site, which I will not divulge, since he asked me not to pass it on. Still it
made me think, reconsider a couple of ideas, and look into a chart I have not published. Of
the 15 single cycles in the Raw Numbers, this study is only based on 4 of them, two posted
in Chart 2E inside the Trading System.
It has shown great merit since 1982, calibrated at peak in 2000. Keep it simple seems to be
a great idea also here. I will call it Long Term Z233/ 4 Average, and its the 3rd chart in the
following series, the first two charts are discussed further down:
[The Super Big Picture]
Dow Jones could actually make new high in late 2016 - early 2017, after an extended bull
market from 2011. This is counter to ideas suggested further down, still I post it as a
possibility, study all three charts in concert, and keep an open mind. Already so many seem
to expect that US and its stock market are headed for the abyss. Well never write off
America, its seems to be the favorite pass time for many around the world - even among
Americans.
Americans have three things [even more] going for them, 1) economic freedom, 2) many
Americans pray for the country, and 3) they have Hollywood, which always plants seeds in
the mind of kids/ new generations. Elsewhere they finish them off even in the kindergarten,
run mostly by depressive Marxists chicks, here in Europe. If you want to destroy the
economy, go to work, and pass your kids over to communists. Soon the kids will call you
names too. An interesting documentary showed that all the ideas for new medical technology
was created by "kids" who had been Star Trek fans. Soon law enforcement will adapt ideas
from Batman.
Of course the French author Jules Verne inspired many innovations, I refer to Back to the
future part 3, where he was spoken highly about, for good reason. Emmet Brown got two
kids with the teacher Clara Clayton, and called them Jules and Verne. I loved the three
movies, and some kids will invent a real Time Machine, but not a refitted De Lorean.
Jules Verne set the stage for great progress, it all starts with imagination, but you must also
have faith. What things soever you desire, when you pray, believe that you receive them,
and you shall have them. But seek first the kingdom of God and His righteousness, and
all these things shall be added to you. Ideas this man incorporated in his book 100 years
ago. Wealth and everything ever invented comes from God, and through those with faith, pay
no attention to the nay sayers. What have they to show for? Imitation.
Sure the atheists laugh, then I ask what did the atheist states in Europe and elsewhere
produce/ invent or any other communist state. They had to fence in their population. Russia
had caviar and Castro cigars, pre revolution products. Thats what they still have - beyond
that just raw materials, they hardly could get to the market.
China got the message. Few know it, but the Bible sells like hot cakes in China, armies praise
the Lord now, as many Americans always have done. The danger is that America is attacked
by atheists and stealth communists, now occupying the White House. In November they will
hopefully be lame ducks, and I will hold my own Tea Party.
Israel also contribute impressively to innovation, and we share sections of the Good Book,
which is basically a scientific treaty. Needless to say many of the greatest scientists were/ are
Jewish, and many fled from Europe - the brain drain. For the Bible holds all The Secrets, for
scientific progress and wealth creation.
So let me say: God Bless America! We all count on you for creating new industries, while
others produce knock offs. Talented people from all over the world will take their ideas
there, the only place every new generation can create huge Fortune 500 corporation in no
time, like Apple, Google, MSFT, Facebook etc. etc. etc - the list goes on. ONLY IN
AMERICA.
In the next phase they will build Las Vegas on the Moon, travel back and forth to the future,
and pull energy out of nothing/ vacuum/ the zero point field, which the immigrant Tesla did in
the last century. Here is the irony, they all know it in their heart, if they do not rally around the
American Economy, they will have none their own. The Russian President went to Silicon
Valley recently, and asked Russians to come home, and create companies. Why? To be
ripped off - with help from the government or a judge? Did you know that the American
chess team consists of Russians. An Indian is already in America, he has invented a machine
that produces bricks from moon dust. He will probably build a Casino on the Moon - called
Sands/ The Moon. People with visions and faith is what is needed - at all times. Politicians
are irrelevant.
Update [July 8th 2010]: I just received a an article from Wall Street Journal from a
regular visitor: Get Ready for a Cataclysmic Market Crash! (Or Maybe Not); By Jason
Zweig.
My question is: Can Bob Precther be correct, Dow will return to 1982 level, below 1000.
Not in six-, but maybe in eleven years. I will state no opinion, but I will publish a chart I have
had for some time. At times I look it, add the accumulated price data, and always I find it
interesting:
Chart: [The Super Big Picture]
Some explanations should be offered. For fine tuning go to Raw Numbers Page Proper.
The turn in 1982 came late March that year, and ahead was indeed an initial extremely
positive phase, with many of the 15 internal cycles, pulling in the same direction. Setting off an
18 year long bull market.
The extreme reading in the Raw Numbers [the summit] came late August 1999. The graph
could have been calibrated differently, but it does not matter, its just trying to give the Super
Big Picture, so give it a couple of months tolerance/ give and take. For details and .....
Cycle-LT144.
The period from 1994 to 1998 looks weak, while the market inches up, but close up; one
would see the declines in the Raw Numbers and the Average, have brief right hand shifts and
left hand slopes, that should give a bullish interpretation, according to the Rules of
Interpretations. The are marks/ dents in the price in this period, but not trend changes.
Especially if there is a peak ahead [1999], the market should move towards The Summit, and
favour positive pulses over negative ones. Often the market resists negative pulses as well as
it can. This might be different ahead, if we are in a long weak phase, with intermediate
aborted bull runs.
Lets look at the price 2007-2008. The peak in the indicator came in 2006, but here I refer to
regular Big Picture Study, and even more detailed studies. In the Super Big Picture, the
market was hanging in the air, and fell into the hole, just in time before 2009 positive
correction.
From 2011 the Newmont Chart in conjunction with commodity studies, suggest a rally
maybe in resource stocks, and other cyclical stocks. Still in the bigger picture we might move
sideway in the major Stock indexes from 2011, and a final decline from 2017 towards late
2021. Under 1000 Dow Points? I do not dare to say.
Again this is not a prediction, this is an offer to anyone to interpret the picture as they see it,
with Cycle-LT as one input only. On this web site intra day cycles to those lasting over
decades - are offered. In the end it comes down to how each and everyone read the
MARKET, who is always right.
On this web site I once (years ago) called the market an unpredictable bitch,and a visitor with
a lady name, called me a sexist. Whey did I not call the market a horny bastard?
Less sexist?1)
Special Long Term Study:
| SNAP SHOT CHARTS: [The Big Picture] - [The Closer View] - [Big Picture Intraday] In addition a single Indicator with explanatory text and historic chart: [Cycle-LT144Z] |
Cycle - LT/ [US - Stock Market Cycles] Stock Market Special Study