Update [April 10th 2011]: I have added long term studies for Dow Jones and Newmont
Mining, see Home Page. As always interpretation is needed and from here one can study
more history.
I would like to add one rule of interpretation, to break an upward trend, the various cycles
need a sizeable right hand slope as seen in 2000 and in 2008-09. In 2008-09 the market
defied a weak cycle for long and finally gave in.
This is a fact of life, everything seem to be rigged against the bears/ short sellers, being one I
am tempted to think the FED and the government conspire to take advantage of the smallest
short squeeze. A real break down has to take the fancy of a wider public, as after 2000 (tech
bubble), and then the hick up after 2008 (corrupt housing financing), there was a sense of
Armageddon. Thats what it takes combined with a negative cycle.
Then on the other hand bullish trends seem to nurtured by everybody, yes even from Europe
and Asia. They seem to think; if US tank, we are all finished. Which I believe is true. US
provides all of the innovation, attract smart people from around the world, and that will
continue, for most country remain backward, even Europe. US is the only game in town, and
the Chinese know it. They have found out (through research) that Christianity is the strength
of the west. Americans should be both proud and happy that they are a country of faith in
Christs, for how can the Chinese be wrong? Its the Judea/ Christian tradition that is our
strength, and in Europe the atheists are running the place, and they try to destroy America
too, the stealth communists.
My Christian faith means everything to me, and I am Friend of America, and pray for your
success and recovery every day. Wallace Deois Wattles and other great American writers on
the same subject from the early 20th century, discovered the truth about prosperity in the
Bible, which we Christians share with the Jewish People, who have fostered all the great
scientists and have excelled in a series other fields. Thanks to the secrets of th Bible, and they
found rescue in America. All life and prosperity comes from God, and only by faith and
proper thinking can wealth be created on a large scale.
Therefore I say unto you, What things soever you desire, when you pray, believe that
you receive them, and you shall have them. But seek first the kingdom of God and His
righteousness, and all these things shall be added to you.
The truth is that all the great industrial tycoons read these brilliant writers like Wallace
Wattles, and still they are read. I can not confirm this, but I have read when Bill Gates read
these books he became a drop out, and the content is right out of Old and New Testament.
After August 2011 we could enter a trend all the way to 2017, but there some weakness in
some of the eternals, while others are very strong, which can be seen from the long term
study, especially one making up the third chart. Then after 2017 into the early 20ties, we
might get a sizeable bear market. Anyway no advise is given here, any interested visitors
should make his/ her own interpretation based on all factors.
Update [February 13th 2011]: I have now included one more chart series, so in essence
everything is there compared to the old presentation, but simplified.
Update [February 8th 2011]: I have found a way to include the commodity charts on the
new web site - simplified. The old site can be for historic and in depth studies.
Update [February 6th 2011]: I have intended to terminate the web site all together as many
of the charts expire this spring, and two prepaid adds expire in March. Instead I scale the
chart presentation down, and might continue one more year. I leave the old pages and charts
for those interested in the historic references, and create a simpler NEW Home Page [link
further down]. Some of the long term charts might be updated weekly, but for the most part I
do terminate the commodity markets. It has become a drag, partly because there is very little
interest, and I hardly get any feedback in the course of a year or even a Christmas or New
Years greeting for all my efforts and free of charge service. Which its OK, this is the Internet
culture it seems, but for those of us, who provide free content, it will be a constant
consideration if you should go on. Its to be liken with the lady who brought her harp to the
party, and no one asked her to play. At one point the lady do not bring the harp or do not
attend parties.
The new site includes the most popular Intraday Charts, some of the long term Dow charts in
a 24 hours perspective through March 2012, as a separate chart series. I will try update the
two chart series daily approx. 09.00 EST before the market opens, and at the close of
trading, since the work load now has been reduced considerably.
I have decided to keep publish for one reason, to give myself an incentive to collect intra day
data and update daily for my own reasons. If not; its tempting to drop it all together, and
create a backlog of work. Here is the [New Home Page], and I might publish for another
year, but no guaranty. There might be travels and other interest to attend, thus the service can
be terminated at any time without prior notice..
Update [August 15th 2010]: Go to the Long Term Study.
Update [July 29th 2010]: My work is coming to a close, I have put together a collection of
charts I prefer personally to watch. I have added commonly observed technical indicators, so
they can be easily compared with Cycle-LT, and called all it: Cycle-LT Trading
System[link further down]. I personally observe the Cycle-LT in concert with these technical
indicators, to spot major opportunities. Also to gauge when the upside and downside risk are
decreased, to estimate the risk reward for entering - long or short, always against majority
opinion. Some have said the charts are difficult to understand or read, but watching this new
chart series daily should give a good feel for the market, for any interested visitor - it takes
time getting used to. I have decided not to adapt the charts. The attendance to this web site is
very stable, but can boast an over weight Asians [who score on average the highest on all IQ
tests], the best educated, the most experienced and the most affluent investors:
http://www.quantcast.com/cyclelt.com#demographics
For now I will keep the site going at least into next year, but can not guaranty its durability, so
spread the good news, thats is the only thing that can keep the motivation for publishing
going. As said before the motivation has mostly been selfish; to improve the method out of
self interest. Publishing somehow does promote that, which I noticed when I came on line in
April 1999. Now I will like to spend my time differently, most probably on my boat.
More about the: [Trading System]
Update [July 9th 2001]: See a special new long term study.
Mining, see Home Page. As always interpretation is needed and from here one can study
more history.
I would like to add one rule of interpretation, to break an upward trend, the various cycles
need a sizeable right hand slope as seen in 2000 and in 2008-09. In 2008-09 the market
defied a weak cycle for long and finally gave in.
This is a fact of life, everything seem to be rigged against the bears/ short sellers, being one I
am tempted to think the FED and the government conspire to take advantage of the smallest
short squeeze. A real break down has to take the fancy of a wider public, as after 2000 (tech
bubble), and then the hick up after 2008 (corrupt housing financing), there was a sense of
Armageddon. Thats what it takes combined with a negative cycle.
Then on the other hand bullish trends seem to nurtured by everybody, yes even from Europe
and Asia. They seem to think; if US tank, we are all finished. Which I believe is true. US
provides all of the innovation, attract smart people from around the world, and that will
continue, for most country remain backward, even Europe. US is the only game in town, and
the Chinese know it. They have found out (through research) that Christianity is the strength
of the west. Americans should be both proud and happy that they are a country of faith in
Christs, for how can the Chinese be wrong? Its the Judea/ Christian tradition that is our
strength, and in Europe the atheists are running the place, and they try to destroy America
too, the stealth communists.
My Christian faith means everything to me, and I am Friend of America, and pray for your
success and recovery every day. Wallace Deois Wattles and other great American writers on
the same subject from the early 20th century, discovered the truth about prosperity in the
Bible, which we Christians share with the Jewish People, who have fostered all the great
scientists and have excelled in a series other fields. Thanks to the secrets of th Bible, and they
found rescue in America. All life and prosperity comes from God, and only by faith and
proper thinking can wealth be created on a large scale.
Therefore I say unto you, What things soever you desire, when you pray, believe that
you receive them, and you shall have them. But seek first the kingdom of God and His
righteousness, and all these things shall be added to you.
The truth is that all the great industrial tycoons read these brilliant writers like Wallace
Wattles, and still they are read. I can not confirm this, but I have read when Bill Gates read
these books he became a drop out, and the content is right out of Old and New Testament.
After August 2011 we could enter a trend all the way to 2017, but there some weakness in
some of the eternals, while others are very strong, which can be seen from the long term
study, especially one making up the third chart. Then after 2017 into the early 20ties, we
might get a sizeable bear market. Anyway no advise is given here, any interested visitors
should make his/ her own interpretation based on all factors.
Update [February 13th 2011]: I have now included one more chart series, so in essence
everything is there compared to the old presentation, but simplified.
Update [February 8th 2011]: I have found a way to include the commodity charts on the
new web site - simplified. The old site can be for historic and in depth studies.
Update [February 6th 2011]: I have intended to terminate the web site all together as many
of the charts expire this spring, and two prepaid adds expire in March. Instead I scale the
chart presentation down, and might continue one more year. I leave the old pages and charts
for those interested in the historic references, and create a simpler NEW Home Page [link
further down]. Some of the long term charts might be updated weekly, but for the most part I
do terminate the commodity markets. It has become a drag, partly because there is very little
interest, and I hardly get any feedback in the course of a year or even a Christmas or New
Years greeting for all my efforts and free of charge service. Which its OK, this is the Internet
culture it seems, but for those of us, who provide free content, it will be a constant
consideration if you should go on. Its to be liken with the lady who brought her harp to the
party, and no one asked her to play. At one point the lady do not bring the harp or do not
attend parties.
The new site includes the most popular Intraday Charts, some of the long term Dow charts in
a 24 hours perspective through March 2012, as a separate chart series. I will try update the
two chart series daily approx. 09.00 EST before the market opens, and at the close of
trading, since the work load now has been reduced considerably.
I have decided to keep publish for one reason, to give myself an incentive to collect intra day
data and update daily for my own reasons. If not; its tempting to drop it all together, and
create a backlog of work. Here is the [New Home Page], and I might publish for another
year, but no guaranty. There might be travels and other interest to attend, thus the service can
be terminated at any time without prior notice..
Update [August 15th 2010]: Go to the Long Term Study.
Update [July 29th 2010]: My work is coming to a close, I have put together a collection of
charts I prefer personally to watch. I have added commonly observed technical indicators, so
they can be easily compared with Cycle-LT, and called all it: Cycle-LT Trading
System[link further down]. I personally observe the Cycle-LT in concert with these technical
indicators, to spot major opportunities. Also to gauge when the upside and downside risk are
decreased, to estimate the risk reward for entering - long or short, always against majority
opinion. Some have said the charts are difficult to understand or read, but watching this new
chart series daily should give a good feel for the market, for any interested visitor - it takes
time getting used to. I have decided not to adapt the charts. The attendance to this web site is
very stable, but can boast an over weight Asians [who score on average the highest on all IQ
tests], the best educated, the most experienced and the most affluent investors:
http://www.quantcast.com/cyclelt.com#demographics
For now I will keep the site going at least into next year, but can not guaranty its durability, so
spread the good news, thats is the only thing that can keep the motivation for publishing
going. As said before the motivation has mostly been selfish; to improve the method out of
self interest. Publishing somehow does promote that, which I noticed when I came on line in
April 1999. Now I will like to spend my time differently, most probably on my boat.
More about the: [Trading System]
Update [July 9th 2001]: See a special new long term study.
Market Comment Page:
| SNAP SHOT CHARTS: [The Big Picture] - [The Closer View] - [Big Picture Intraday] In addition a single Indicator with explanatory text and historic chart: [Cycle-LT144Z] |
Cycle - LT/ [US - Stock Market Cycles] Stock Market Comments .......